Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Hil Is A "Pill" On Iraq

(She's not alone, though - I think U.S. House Rep. Jerry Mc Nerney needs a "manhood" test based on this, and I never thought I'd ever say this, but kudos to Ellen Tauscher.

McNerney's wants to "see what is acceptable to Republicans"? Screw you! Way to repay Markos et al for their help.)

So Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton is telling us that the surge is “working” in Al Anbar province, huh?

Thanks loads, Senator.

Yes, there have been some gains, as noted by David Bonior of the John Edwards campaign, but Bonior quite rightly says that "by cherry-picking one instance to validate a failed Bush strategy, it risks undermining the effort in the Congress to end this war.”

(And by the way, we should leave Iraq if for no other reason that to show up Nouri al-Maliki for the monumental ingrate that he is; yes, Bushco has fracked up in endless ways, beginning with the original invasion of a country that was never a threat to us – even Rummy never took the threat of Iraqi nukes seriously – but the fact of the matter is that our men and women are losing their body parts, to say nothing of their lives, as well as shedding blood and suffering all kinds of other trauma over there, and I don’t think a little bit of stinking gratitude from this guy is too much to ask).

Bonior’s accurate analysis of Clinton’s words prompted this response from Howard Wolfson, Clinton’s communications director…

"Senator Edwards was right on Sunday when he said that all the Democrats would end the war and that the differences between them were small," he said. "He is wrong today to distort Senator Clinton's opposition to the surge in a sad attempt to raise his flagging poll numbers."
Really? Funny thing, Howie, but according to this, John Edwards is still leading among Iowa caucus-goers in the Democratic primary.

Give us a bit of a warning the next time you decide to steal from Karl Rove’s playbook, OK?

The importance of Clinton’s words is more symbolic than literal here because, as Bonior says, it distracts from the goal of getting our people out. Yes, Clinton opposed “the splurge” when it was first proposed in January, but her words play into the hands of Petraeus and company who want this mess to go on for ten years (dear God).

I’ll tell you what; I’m just going to post the entire New York Times editorial written last Sunday by seven of our military personnel returning from Iraq. They are in a much better position to evaluate what has been going on over there than anyone else.

They are…

Buddhika Jayamaha (Army Specialist)
Wesley D. Smith (Sergeant)
Jeremy Roebuck (Sergeant)
Omar Mora (Sergeant)
Edward Sandmeier (Sergeant)
Yance T. Gray (Staff Sergeant)
Jeremy A. Murphy (Staff Sergeant)
(As noted in the column, Staff Sergeant Murphy was wounded…best wishes for a full and speedy recovery)

This needs to be read thoroughly by every one of us (I know that will turn this into an enormously long post, but I think it’s necessary, especially since this has been largely ignored by our corporate media).

VIEWED from Iraq at the tail end of a 15-month deployment, the political debate in Washington is indeed surreal. Counterinsurgency is, by definition, a competition between insurgents and counterinsurgents for the control and support of a population. To believe that Americans, with an occupying force that long ago outlived its reluctant welcome, can win over a recalcitrant local population and win this counterinsurgency is far-fetched. As responsible infantrymen and noncommissioned officers with the 82nd Airborne Division soon heading back home, we are skeptical of recent press coverage portraying the conflict as increasingly manageable and feel it has neglected the mounting civil, political and social unrest we see every day. (Obviously, these are our personal views and should not be seen as official within our chain of command.)

The claim that we are increasingly in control of the battlefields in Iraq is an assessment arrived at through a flawed, American-centered framework. Yes, we are militarily superior, but our successes are offset by failures elsewhere. What soldiers call the “battle space” remains the same, with changes only at the margins. It is crowded with actors who do not fit neatly into boxes: Sunni extremists, Al Qaeda terrorists, Shiite militiamen, criminals and armed tribes. This situation is made more complex by the questionable loyalties and Janus-faced role of the Iraqi police and Iraqi Army, which have been trained and armed at United States taxpayers’ expense.

A few nights ago, for example, we witnessed the death of one American soldier and the critical wounding of two others when a lethal armor-piercing explosive was detonated between an Iraqi Army checkpoint and a police one. Local Iraqis readily testified to American investigators that Iraqi police and Army officers escorted the triggermen and helped plant the bomb. These civilians highlighted their own predicament: had they informed the Americans of the bomb before the incident, the Iraqi Army, the police or the local Shiite militia would have killed their families.

As many grunts will tell you, this is a near-routine event. Reports that a majority of Iraqi Army commanders are now reliable partners can be considered only misleading rhetoric. The truth is that battalion commanders, even if well meaning, have little to no influence over the thousands of obstinate men under them, in an incoherent chain of command, who are really loyal only to their militias.

Similarly, Sunnis, who have been underrepresented in the new Iraqi armed forces, now find themselves forming militias, sometimes with our tacit support. Sunnis recognize that the best guarantee they may have against Shiite militias and the Shiite-dominated government is to form their own armed bands. We arm them to aid in our fight against Al Qaeda.

However, while creating proxies is essential in winning a counterinsurgency, it requires that the proxies are loyal to the center that we claim to support. Armed Sunni tribes have indeed become effective surrogates, but the enduring question is where their loyalties would lie in our absence. The Iraqi government finds itself working at cross purposes with us on this issue because it is justifiably fearful that Sunni militias will turn on it should the Americans leave.

In short, we operate in a bewildering context of determined enemies and questionable allies, one where the balance of forces on the ground remains entirely unclear. (In the course of writing this article, this fact became all too clear: one of us, Staff Sergeant Murphy, an Army Ranger and reconnaissance team leader, was shot in the head during a “time-sensitive target acquisition mission” on Aug. 12; he is expected to survive and is being flown to a military hospital in the United States.) While we have the will and the resources to fight in this context, we are effectively hamstrung because realities on the ground require measures we will always refuse — namely, the widespread use of lethal and brutal force.

Given the situation, it is important not to assess security from an American-centered perspective. The ability of, say, American observers to safely walk down the streets of formerly violent towns is not a resounding indicator of security. What matters is the experience of the local citizenry and the future of our counterinsurgency. When we take this view, we see that a vast majority of Iraqis feel increasingly insecure and view us as an occupation force that has failed to produce normalcy after four years and is increasingly unlikely to do so as we continue to arm each warring side.

Coupling our military strategy to an insistence that the Iraqis meet political benchmarks for reconciliation is also unhelpful. The morass in the government has fueled impatience and confusion while providing no semblance of security to average Iraqis. Leaders are far from arriving at a lasting political settlement. This should not be surprising, since a lasting political solution will not be possible while the military situation remains in constant flux.

The Iraqi government is run by the main coalition partners of the Shiite-dominated United Iraqi Alliance, with Kurds as minority members. The Shiite clerical establishment formed the alliance to make sure its people did not succumb to the same mistake as in 1920: rebelling against the occupying Western force (then the British) and losing what they believed was their inherent right to rule Iraq as the majority. The qualified and reluctant welcome we received from the Shiites since the invasion has to be seen in that historical context. They saw in us something useful for the moment.

Now that moment is passing, as the Shiites have achieved what they believe is rightfully theirs. Their next task is to figure out how best to consolidate the gains, because reconciliation without consolidation risks losing it all. Washington’s insistence that the Iraqis correct the three gravest mistakes we made — de-Baathification, the dismantling of the Iraqi Army and the creation of a loose federalist system of government — places us at cross purposes with the government we have committed to support.

Political reconciliation in Iraq will occur, but not at our insistence or in ways that meet our benchmarks. It will happen on Iraqi terms when the reality on the battlefield is congruent with that in the political sphere. There will be no magnanimous solutions that please every party the way we expect, and there will be winners and losers. The choice we have left is to decide which side we will take. Trying to please every party in the conflict — as we do now — will only ensure we are hated by all in the long run.

At the same time, the most important front in the counterinsurgency, improving basic social and economic conditions, is the one on which we have failed most miserably. Two million Iraqis are in refugee camps in bordering countries. Close to two million more are internally displaced and now fill many urban slums. Cities lack regular electricity, telephone services and sanitation. “Lucky” Iraqis live in gated communities barricaded with concrete blast walls that provide them with a sense of communal claustrophobia rather than any sense of security we would consider normal.

In a lawless environment where men with guns rule the streets, engaging in the banalities of life has become a death-defying act. Four years into our occupation, we have failed on every promise, while we have substituted Baath Party tyranny with a tyranny of Islamist, militia and criminal violence. When the primary preoccupation of average Iraqis is when and how they are likely to be killed, we can hardly feel smug as we hand out care packages. As an Iraqi man told us a few days ago with deep resignation, “We need security, not free food.”

In the end, we need to recognize that our presence may have released Iraqis from the grip of a tyrant, but that it has also robbed them of their self-respect. They will soon realize that the best way to regain dignity is to call us what we are — an army of occupation — and force our withdrawal.

Until that happens, it would be prudent for us to increasingly let Iraqis take center stage in all matters, to come up with a nuanced policy in which we assist them from the margins but let them resolve their differences as they see fit. This suggestion is not meant to be defeatist, but rather to highlight our pursuit of incompatible policies to absurd ends without recognizing the incongruities.

We need not talk about our morale. As committed soldiers, we will see this mission through.
Every Democratic presidential nominee should repeat this over and over in case they need to do so: our presence is fueling the insurgency, our presence is fueling the insurgency, our presence is fueling the insurgency…

And if your candidate doesn’t do this, Howie, she’s going to lose ground from the 22 percent that she has now, and she’s already trailing. Then we’ll see whose poll numbers are “flagging.”

Update 1: Well, at least Dubya is finally comparing Iraq to the correct war in our history, as opposed to Korea and WWII.

Update 2: More Iraq news of dangers facing our troops for Jerry McNerney.

Update 9/12/07: Dear God...my deepest sympathies to the families and friends of Sgts. Mora and Gray.

1 comment:

jae said...

Thanks! I posted the NYTimes OpEd and my blog too, we've got to keep trying to get the truth out....